Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1466.111353 1677.905332 1916.086804 2205.039171 2547.765648 2943.334939 3437.391127
2025-08-03 1153.658739 1428.818825 1769.388700 2227.103740 2834.122812 3622.892877 4744.302911
2025-08-10 1013.552482 1320.153058 1723.909044 2304.808491 3136.446274 4311.605198 6149.046716
2025-08-17 900.736391 1220.665294 1663.262908 2336.248472 3362.827843 4920.553108 7567.421204
2025-08-24 809.741336 1133.985838 1601.408647 2346.317366 3546.707954 5486.436167 9040.409021
2025-08-31 737.567731 1062.813781 1548.887946 2356.514237 3724.049813 6065.451220 10670.786986
2025-09-07 685.280003 1013.667929 1521.052022 2397.646369 3953.458108 6770.375320 12713.618045
2025-09-14 617.654806 932.665781 1432.382935 2323.149942 3965.626161 7079.680956 14049.245136
2025-09-21 561.283152 863.457160 1354.408160 2254.964806 3975.231812 7380.935500 15445.698682
2025-09-28 510.981957 799.159691 1277.455680 2177.679330 3953.428669 7611.705518 16744.513640
2025-10-05 492.990113 786.712487 1287.119046 2259.452486 4256.088535 8582.441551 20146.784556
2025-10-12 469.628167 762.711232 1273.593200 2294.661561 4468.149247 9398.681471 23439.884836
2025-10-19 448.849134 742.535268 1266.987638 2347.125325 4737.172308 10437.624005 27861.008696
2025-10-26 427.040150 718.739751 1251.597921 2380.727698 4973.734866 11467.434490 32762.513827
2025-11-02 413.260885 708.082163 1259.514797 2463.474458 5339.694739 12932.135433 39843.674376
2025-11-09 395.135282 687.603558 1246.019688 2497.733971 5594.995836 14169.349953 46827.641785
2025-11-16 376.181507 663.866220 1223.523169 2508.613191 5793.541745 15302.536472 54106.835046
2025-11-23 358.903424 641.902613 1202.394787 2519.664974 5995.182536 16509.074827 62505.158694
2025-11-30 346.120335 627.697104 1195.883305 2564.236218 6297.863334 18140.695348 74071.752812
2025-12-07 323.449822 591.987292 1140.606631 2483.519184 6231.440502 18509.279662 79660.076183
2025-12-14 303.233265 559.872408 1090.436481 2409.676416 6173.069248 18897.118406 85713.088703
2025-12-21 283.826296 528.155511 1038.655757 2326.020953 6071.965614 19107.359320 90999.458404
2025-12-28 279.077495 526.472141 1053.085333 2414.535383 6518.253529 21559.895095 112356.656009